Retatrutide results: the weight loss numbers from every trial, by dose and by week
Key facts
- Phase 2, 48 weeks, 338 adults with obesity: mean weight change -8.7% (1 mg), -17.1% (4 mg), -22.8% (8 mg), -24.2% (12 mg) versus -2.1% on placebo (Jastreboff et al., NEJM 2023).
- Phase 3 TRIUMPH-1, 80 weeks, 2,339 adults: -19.0% (4 mg), -25.9% (9 mg), -28.3% (12 mg) versus -2.2% on placebo; 104-week extension reached -30.3% at 12 mg (Lilly announcement, May 2026, not yet peer-reviewed).
- In type 2 diabetes the effect is smaller: -16.94% at 12 mg over 36 weeks in phase 2, and -20.8% at 12 mg over 80 weeks in TRIUMPH-2.
- All figures are group means from supervised trials with Lilly-manufactured product; individual results vary, and results after stopping treatment have not been published.
Retatrutide's results are the reason it is discussed at all. This page collects every efficacy figure that has been published in a peer-reviewed journal or announced by the sponsor, organized by trial, dose and time point, with the source next to each. Nothing here is estimated, extrapolated or rounded beyond what the sources report.
Phase 2 obesity trial: 48 weeks, 338 adults
Jastreboff et al. (NEJM 2023; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04881760) randomized 338 adults with a BMI of 30 or higher, or 27 to less than 30 with at least one weight-related condition, to once-weekly retatrutide or placebo for 48 weeks. 51.8% were men. The primary end point was the percentage change in body weight at 24 weeks.
| Arm | 24 weeks (primary) | 48 weeks |
|---|---|---|
| 1 mg | -7.2% | -8.7% |
| 4 mg (two starting-dose groups combined) | -12.9% | -17.1% |
| 8 mg (two starting-dose groups combined) | -17.3% | -22.8% |
| 12 mg | -17.5% | -24.2% |
| Placebo | -1.6% | -2.1% |
Values are least-squares mean percentage changes from baseline. Two features stand out. The curves had not flattened by 48 weeks; the 12 mg arm lost a further 6.7 percentage points between week 24 and week 48. And the 8 mg and 12 mg arms were nearly identical at 24 weeks and separated only modestly by 48 weeks.
Proportion of participants reaching weight loss thresholds at 48 weeks
| Threshold | 4 mg | 8 mg | 12 mg | Placebo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% or more | 92% | 100% | 100% | 27% |
| 10% or more | 75% | 91% | 93% | 9% |
| 15% or more | 60% | 75% | 83% | 2% |
Every participant on 8 mg or 12 mg who completed the trial lost at least 5% of body weight. At 12 mg, 83% lost at least 15%, which means 17% did not; the mean of -24.2% conceals a range.
Phase 2 type 2 diabetes trial: 36 weeks, 281 adults
Rosenstock et al. (Lancet 2023; NCT04867785) enrolled adults with type 2 diabetes (HbA1c 7.0 to 10.5%, BMI 25 to 50, on diet and exercise or metformin) at 42 U.S. centres. Mean age was 56.2 years and mean duration of diabetes 8.1 years. Dulaglutide 1.5 mg served as an active comparator. The primary end point was the change in HbA1c at 24 weeks.
| Arm | HbA1c change at 24 weeks | Weight change at 36 weeks |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 mg | -0.43% | -3.19% |
| 4 mg (escalated from 2 mg) | -1.39% | -7.92% |
| 4 mg (no escalation) | -1.30% | -10.37% |
| 8 mg (slow escalation) | -1.99% | -16.81% |
| 8 mg (fast escalation) | -1.88% | -16.34% |
| 12 mg | -2.02% | -16.94% |
| Dulaglutide 1.5 mg | -1.41% | -2.02% |
| Placebo | -0.01% | -3.00% |
HbA1c reductions were significantly greater than placebo at every dose except 0.5 mg, and greater than dulaglutide in the 8 mg slow-escalation and 12 mg groups. Weight reductions at 4 mg and above were significantly greater than both placebo and dulaglutide. Note that in this trial the placebo group lost 3.00%, more than the 2.1% seen in the obesity trial at 48 weeks, and that the 8 mg and 12 mg groups were indistinguishable.
Liver fat: the phase 2a substudy
Sanyal et al. (Nature Medicine 2024) report a substudy of the obesity trial in 98 participants who had metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease with at least 10% liver fat at baseline.
| Arm | Relative change in liver fat at 24 weeks | Participants reaching normal liver fat (below 5%) at 24 weeks |
|---|---|---|
| 1 mg | -42.9% | 27% |
| 4 mg | -57.0% | 52% |
| 8 mg | -81.4% | 79% |
| 12 mg | -82.4% | 86% |
| Placebo | +0.3% | 0% |
All retatrutide arms differed from placebo with P below 0.001. The authors report that liver fat reductions were significantly related to changes in body weight, abdominal fat and metabolic measures associated with improved insulin sensitivity and lipid metabolism.
Phase 3 TRIUMPH results (company announcements)
The four completed phase 3 trials have been reported by Eli Lilly in press releases. These figures have not been through peer review, and the full data, including the treatment-regimen estimand that counts participants who stopped treatment, will only be available when the papers are published. The figures below are the efficacy estimand, which describes the effect while on treatment.
| Trial | Population | Doses | Weight change | Placebo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIUMPH-4 (68 weeks, 445 participants; announced December 11, 2025) | Obesity or overweight with knee osteoarthritis | 9 mg, 12 mg | -26.4%, -28.7% | -2.1% |
| TRIUMPH-1 (80 weeks, 2,339 randomized; announced May 21, 2026) | Obesity or overweight without diabetes | 4 mg, 9 mg, 12 mg | -19.0%, -25.9%, -28.3% | -2.2% |
| TRIUMPH-2 (80 weeks, 1,152 participants; announced July 23, 2026) | Type 2 diabetes with obesity or overweight | 4 mg, 9 mg, 12 mg | -12.7%, -19.1%, -20.8% | 9.3 lb lost on average (percentage not given in the announcement) |
| TRIUMPH-3 (80 weeks, 1,949 participants; announced July 23, 2026) | Severe obesity with established cardiovascular disease | 9 mg, 12 mg | -21.6%, -22.6% | -3.2% |
In TRIUMPH-1, absolute weight loss was 21.4 kg (4 mg), 29.2 kg (9 mg) and 31.9 kg (12 mg) versus 2.5 kg on placebo. In TRIUMPH-4, baseline weight averaged 112.7 kg and BMI 40.4; the 12 mg arm lost 32.3 kg. In TRIUMPH-2, the announcement reports A1C reductions of up to an average of 1.6%.
TRIUMPH-1 responder rates at 80 weeks
| Threshold | 4 mg | 9 mg | 12 mg | Placebo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% or more | 27.8% | 52.9% | 62.5% | 2.2% |
| 30% or more | 15.3% | 37.9% | 45.3% | 0.5% |
| 35% or more | 5.9% | 20.8% | 27.2% | 0.3% |
In TRIUMPH-4, 58.6% of the 12 mg arm lost 25% or more, 39.4% lost 30% or more and 23.7% lost 35% or more.
TRIUMPH-1 extension to 104 weeks
A subset of 532 participants with a BMI of 35 or higher continued to 104 weeks in an extension in which each arm was escalated to its maximum tolerated dose. Weight change at 104 weeks was -27.9% (participants originally on 4 mg), -29.5% (9 mg) and -30.3% (12 mg). Participants originally on placebo, switched to retatrutide in the extension, reached -19.2% at 104 weeks. This is the longest retatrutide exposure reported anywhere.
Reading the results honestly
- Group means are not individual predictions. The responder tables show that at the top dose a meaningful minority lost far less than the average.
- People with type 2 diabetes lose less. This was true at every dose in both phase 2 and phase 3, and it matches experience with earlier incretin drugs.
- The efficacy estimand overstates what a whole population would achieve, because it describes participants while on treatment. The treatment-regimen figures from phase 3 have not been released.
- Nothing is published about weight after stopping. Every trial administered retatrutide continuously; the 104-week extension continued treatment rather than withdrawing it.
- The price of the top dose is tolerability. In TRIUMPH-1, going from 9 mg to 12 mg added 2.4 percentage points of weight loss and raised discontinuation because of adverse events from 6.9% to 11.3%. The side effects article has the full picture, and the comparison with tirzepatide puts these figures next to the approved dual agonist.
Frequently asked questions
How much weight do people lose on retatrutide?
In the 48-week phase 2 obesity trial, mean weight change was -24.2% at 12 mg, -22.8% at 8 mg, -17.1% at 4 mg and -8.7% at 1 mg, versus -2.1% on placebo. In the 80-week phase 3 TRIUMPH-1 trial the company reported -28.3% at 12 mg versus -2.2% on placebo.
What are the retatrutide results in type 2 diabetes?
Smaller than in people without diabetes: -16.94% at 12 mg over 36 weeks in phase 2, with an HbA1c reduction of 2.02%, and -20.8% at 12 mg over 80 weeks in TRIUMPH-2, with A1C reductions of up to 1.6% on average.
What is the longest retatrutide result reported?
The 104-week extension of TRIUMPH-1 in 532 participants with a BMI of 35 or higher: -30.3% for those originally on 12 mg. This comes from a company announcement and has not yet been peer-reviewed.
Does retatrutide reduce liver fat?
In a 98-participant phase 2a substudy, liver fat fell by 81.4% at 8 mg and 82.4% at 12 mg over 24 weeks versus a 0.3% rise on placebo, and 86% of the 12 mg arm reached normal liver fat (below 5%).
Sources
- Peer-reviewed. Jastreboff AM, Kaplan LM, Frias JP, et al. Triple-Hormone-Receptor Agonist Retatrutide for Obesity: A Phase 2 Trial. N Engl J Med. 2023;389(6):514-526. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2301972
- Peer-reviewed. Rosenstock J, Frias J, Jastreboff AM, et al. Retatrutide, a GIP, GLP-1 and glucagon receptor agonist, for people with type 2 diabetes: a randomised, double-blind, placebo and active-controlled, parallel-group, phase 2 trial conducted in the USA. Lancet. 2023;402(10401):529-544. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01053-X
- Peer-reviewed. Sanyal AJ, Kaplan LM, Frias JP, et al. Triple hormone receptor agonist retatrutide for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a randomized phase 2a trial. Nat Med. 2024;30(7):2037-2048. DOI: 10.1038/s41591-024-03018-2
- Company announcement. Eli Lilly and Company. Press release, December 11, 2025: Lilly's triple agonist, retatrutide, delivered weight loss of up to an average of 71.2 lbs along with substantial relief from osteoarthritis pain in first successful Phase 3 trial (TRIUMPH-4 topline results, company announcement, not peer-reviewed). investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-triple-agonist-retatrutide-delivered-weight-loss-average
- Company announcement. Eli Lilly and Company. Press release, May 21, 2026: Lilly's triple agonist, retatrutide, delivered powerful weight loss in pivotal Phase 3 obesity trial (TRIUMPH-1 topline results, company announcement, not peer-reviewed). investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-triple-agonist-retatrutide-delivered-powerful-weight-loss
- Company announcement. Eli Lilly and Company. Press release, July 23, 2026: Lilly's triple agonist, retatrutide, successful in two additional Phase 3 obesity trials, delivering significant improvements in weight and A1C (TRIUMPH-2 and TRIUMPH-3 topline results, company announcement, not peer-reviewed). investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-triple-agonist-retatrutide-successful-two-additional
- Company announcement. Lilly Medical (medical.lilly.com). What are the preliminary results with retatrutide from TRIUMPH-4 in participants with obesity or overweight and osteoarthritis? Company medical information page, accessed September 2026, not peer-reviewed. medical.lilly.com/us/products/answers/what-are-the-preliminary-results-with-retatrutide-from-triumph-4-in-participants-with-obesity-or-overweight-and-osteoarthritis-306723
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04881760. A Study of LY3437943 in Participants Who Have Obesity or Are Overweight (phase 2, 338 participants, completed November 2022). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04881760
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04867785. A Study of LY3437943 in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes (phase 2, 281 participants, completed October 2022). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04867785
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05929066. TRIUMPH-1: A Master Protocol to Investigate the Efficacy and Safety of LY3437943 Once Weekly in Participants Without Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Obesity or Overweight (phase 3, 2,335 participants, primary completion April 2026). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05929066
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05929079. TRIUMPH-2: LY3437943 Once Weekly in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Who Have Obesity or Overweight (phase 3, 1,152 participants, primary completion June 2026). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05929079
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05882045. TRIUMPH-3: LY3437943 Once Weekly Compared to Placebo in Participants With Severe Obesity and Established Cardiovascular Disease (phase 3, 1,946 participants, primary completion April 2026). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05882045
- Trial registry. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05931367. TRIUMPH-4: LY3437943 Once Weekly in Participants Who Have Obesity or Overweight and Osteoarthritis of the Knee (phase 3, 445 participants, completed November 2025). clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05931367